SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Ilves |
40.94% ( 0.34) | 23.81% ( -0.06) | 35.26% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 61.93% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( 0.25) | 40.15% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.48% ( 0.25) | 62.52% ( -0.25) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.26) | 19.9% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.98% ( 0.42) | 52.02% ( -0.41) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.32% ( -0.03) | 22.68% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.67% ( -0.05) | 56.33% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Ilves |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.11% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 35.26% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
