SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 55.36%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 22.66% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Gnistan |
22.66% ( 0.03) | 21.98% ( 0.01) | 55.36% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.07% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( -0.02) | 39.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.79% ( -0.02) | 62.22% ( 0.03) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( 0.02) | 31.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( 0.02) | 67.37% ( -0.01) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( -0.02) | 14.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.82% ( -0.04) | 42.18% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | Gnistan |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.04% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.31% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 22.66% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.4% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 55.36% |
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