SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Lahti win was 0-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gnistan | Draw | Lahti |
52.39% ( -0.02) | 23.64% ( 0.02) | 23.96% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.07% ( -0.07) | 45.93% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.76% ( -0.06) | 68.24% ( 0.07) |
| Gnistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.03) | 17.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.97% ( -0.05) | 48.02% ( 0.05) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( -0.03) | 33.27% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.12% ( -0.04) | 69.88% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gnistan | Draw | Lahti |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.64% | 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.36% Total : 23.96% |
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