Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 53.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.26) 
