Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 45.34%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.