Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.93%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
0.07) 
-0.17) 
