Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Botafogo in this match.
-0.72) 
1.13) 
