Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.1%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Criciuma win it was 0-1 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Internacional in this match.