SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Coventry City |
44.03% ( 0.26) | 23.4% ( -0.17) | 32.57% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.6% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.06% ( 0.81) | 38.93% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( 0.84) | 61.25% ( -0.84) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.43) | 18.06% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( 0.73) | 48.98% ( -0.73) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( 0.34) | 23.6% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( 0.48) | 57.67% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Coventry City |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.76% Total : 44.03% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.57% |
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