SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
41.46% ( 0.67) | 25.91% ( 0.35) | 32.63% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -1.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( -1.77) | 50.39% ( 1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( -1.58) | 72.32% ( 1.58) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.44) | 24.06% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.66% ( -0.63) | 58.34% ( 0.63) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -1.52) | 29.11% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -1.91) | 65.04% ( 1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.46% | 1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.63% |
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