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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Istanbul
1 - 0
Samsunspor

Aleksic (47')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Antalyali (69'), Celik (76'), van Drongelen (83')
Mouandilmadji (34')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 0-2 Istanbul
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 3-0 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Samsunspor

Istanbul Basaksehir returned to winning ways last time out, while Samsunspor are also on a three-match unbeaten streak. We think both teams will cancel each other out in this fixture, but we expect goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Samsunspor had a probability of 22.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Samsunspor win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Istanbul Basaksehir in this match.

Result
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
52.46% (1.108 1.11) 24.55% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 22.98% (-1.059 -1.06)
Both teams to score 51.02% (-1.04 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.3% (-0.785 -0.79)50.7% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.4% (-0.698 -0.7)72.6% (0.696 0.7)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (0.134 0.13)19.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.224 0.22)51.04% (-0.225 -0.23)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-1.397 -1.4)36.78% (1.395 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-1.425 -1.43)73.56% (1.423 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Istanbul Basaksehir 52.46%
    Samsunspor 22.98%
    Draw 24.55%
Istanbul BasaksehirDrawSamsunspor
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.61% (0.379 0.38)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.27% (0.229 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 52.46%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.221 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.238 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-2 Istanbul
Saturday, February 24 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-3 Kayserispor
Monday, February 19 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-0 Istanbul
Saturday, February 10 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Istanbulspor
Saturday, February 3 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-3 Istanbul
Sunday, January 28 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 0-1 Fenerbahce
Wednesday, January 24 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 3-0 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, February 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Samsunspor
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Antalyaspor
Monday, February 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 0-2 Galatasaray
Friday, February 2 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-1 Samsunspor
Monday, January 29 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 2-0 Kayserispor
Thursday, January 25 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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