SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
31.09% ( -0.22) | 25.64% ( 0.17) | 43.27% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( -0.79) | 49.72% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.71) | 71.73% ( 0.71) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( -0.54) | 29.81% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.11% ( -0.66) | 65.89% ( 0.67) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.31) | 22.88% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.37% ( -0.46) | 56.63% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.42% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.26% |
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