Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.17%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.