Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.05) 
