SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Nuremberg |
49.01% ( -0.33) | 22.17% ( 0.04) | 28.82% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 64.91% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.03% ( -0.02) | 34.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.04% ( -0.02) | 56.96% ( 0.02) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( -0.12) | 14.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.12% ( -0.22) | 42.87% ( 0.22) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.09% ( 0.17) | 23.9% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( 0.24) | 58.11% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greuther Furth | Draw | Nuremberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 49.01% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 28.82% |
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