Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
Result | ||
Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
28.05% ( 0.1) | 24.86% ( -0.05) | 47.09% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 54.88% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.07% ( 0.29) | 47.93% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% ( 0.26) | 70.11% ( -0.26) |
Jahn Regensburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% ( 0.22) | 31.06% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( 0.26) | 67.37% ( -0.25) |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% ( 0.1) | 20.4% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% ( 0.16) | 52.84% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
1-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.05% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.85% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.09% |
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