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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 6, 2024 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez

Juarez
2 - 2
Atlas

Zaldivar (37'), Hurtado (72' pen.)
Campillo (44'), Mosquera (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aguirre (49'), Reyes (81')
Guillen (21'), Zaldivar (29')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX

We said: Juarez 1-2 Atlas

Atlas had an usually poor season last term compared to other performances in recent years - however, they remain favorites in this fixture as a result of their dominance over Juarez. We expect the hosts to edge this clash in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawAtlas
41.1% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 27.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 31.13% (0.032 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.61% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)58.08% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-0.035 -0.04)78.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.23% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)27.78% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.64% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)63.36% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92%34.08% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.76% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Juarez 41.1%
    Atlas 31.13%
    Draw 27.77%
JuarezDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.47% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.77%
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Club Leon
Sunday, April 28 at 12.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 0-2 Juarez
Saturday, April 20 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 0-1 Tijuana
Monday, April 15 at 3.06am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-3 Juarez
Monday, April 8 at 4.30pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 2-1 Santos Laguna
Monday, April 1 at 2.36am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 4-3 Puebla
Sunday, March 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 28 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-2 Atlas
Monday, April 22 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Atletico San Luis
Monday, April 15 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 4-1 Atlas
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-3 Queretaro
Monday, April 1 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-2 Monterrey
Sunday, March 17 at 11pm in Liga MX


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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