SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
44.97% ( 0.84) | 25.12% ( 0.37) | 29.92% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( -2.18) | 48.02% ( 2.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( -2.03) | 70.19% ( 2.04) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( -0.53) | 21.37% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.65% ( -0.83) | 54.35% ( 0.83) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.24% ( -1.91) | 29.76% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.18% ( -2.38) | 65.83% ( 2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.71) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.56)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.92% |
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