Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Puebla
42.58% ( -1.1)	26.03% ( -0.81)	31.39% ( 1.9)

Both teams to score 53% (

3.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.75% (

3.93)

51.25% (

-3.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.91% (

3.33)

73.08% (

-3.33)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.11% (

1.19)

23.88% (

-1.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.91% (

1.68)

58.08% (

-1.68)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63% (

3.38)

30.37% (

-3.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.43% (

3.85)

66.57% (

-3.85)

Score Analysis

Juarez 42.57%

Puebla 31.39%

Draw 26.02%

Juarez	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 10.38% ( -1.33) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.66) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.32) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.57%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -1.21) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.43) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.24) Other @ 3.15% Total : 31.39%