Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 50.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-0 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.
