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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Juarez |
46.35% ( -0.01) | 24.19% ( 0.17) | 29.46% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.87% ( -0.85) | 44.13% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.49% ( -0.83) | 66.51% ( 0.82) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.81% ( -0.34) | 19.18% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.14% ( -0.57) | 50.86% ( 0.56) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( -0.53) | 28.1% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.23% ( -0.68) | 63.77% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Juarez |
| 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.21% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.18% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.46% |
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