J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jun 26, 2024 at 11am UK
Yamaha Stadium
We said: Jubilo Iwata 1-1 Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy will be full of confidence after winning three of their previous four league games, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw when they face a Jubilo Iwata side that has lost just one of their last four top-flight home matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 24.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Tokyo Verdy win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.
| Result |
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Tokyo Verdy |
50.38% ( 0.01) | 25.18% ( 0) | 24.44% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.01) |
| 48.11% ( -0.01) | 51.89% ( 0.01) |
| 26.36% ( -0.01) | 73.64% ( 0.01) |
| 79.39% ( -0) | 20.61% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.84% ( -0) | 53.16% ( 0.01) |
| 63.89% ( -0.01) | 36.11% ( 0.01) |
