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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 10am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Onaga (52')
Saito (49'), Yamami (66'), Taniguchi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, June 16 at 10.45am in J1 League

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Nagoya Grampus

While Nagoya Grampus have lacked consistency recently, they will back themselves to make a return to winning ways and lay the foundations for an improved run against their newly-promoted hosts on Saturday, and we see them having enough to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 31.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawNagoya Grampus
31.65% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 26.21% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 42.15% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.53% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)51.91% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35% (-0.023 -0.02)73.65% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.47% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.53% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.25% (0.012 0.01)66.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.61% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)24.39% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.2% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)58.81% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 31.65%
    Nagoya Grampus 42.14%
    Draw 26.2%
Tokyo VerdyDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 31.65%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hiroshima 4-1 Tokyo Verdy
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 5-3 Consadole
Sunday, June 2 at 5.05am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, May 29 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 0-1 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, May 26 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 5-0 Tokyo Verdy
Sunday, May 19 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Sunday, June 16 at 10.45am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Sunday, June 2 at 9.13am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Kyoto Sanga
Sunday, May 26 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 0-2 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, May 18 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 3-1 FC Tokyo
Wednesday, May 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 11 at 8am in J1 League


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