Following back-to-back away defeats, Juventude will be looking forward to returning to their home patch where they are yet to taste defeat this season. However, Gremio have been notably improved over the last couple of weeks and taking a point off the defending champions last time out would have done wonders for their confidence.
This looks like a very even contest on paper and we feel these sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils at the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.
1.22) 
-0.31) 
