Botafogo have started brightly and are in better form compared to Gremio. The hosts have not beaten any team in the top-half, while the visitors have picked some impressive points on the road already. We think that the away side will nick it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 46.81%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Gremio	Draw	Botafogo
46.81% ( 0.46)	27.04% ( 0.34)	26.16% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 46.92% (

-1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38% (

-1.69)

57.62% (

1.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.62% (

-1.36)

78.39% (

1.36)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

-0.53)

24.63% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

-0.74)

59.14% (

0.74)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.25% (

-1.6)

37.76% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.47% (

-1.59)

74.53% (

1.59)

Score Analysis

Gremio 46.81%

Botafogo 26.16%

Draw 27.04%

Gremio	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.63) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.37% Total : 46.81%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.66% Total : 26.16%