While Goianiense have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, they are favourites to claim all three points against an out-of-sorts Gremio side who have lost their last six league matches. We predict a cagey affair at the Stadium Antonio Accioly, with Gomes's men claiming their first home win of the Serie A campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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