Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Kara (3')
Fall (41'), Gianniotis (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Samsunspor
Kasimpasa have seen their matches produce the second-most combined goals in the division and another entertaining affair is on the cards here. That said, we are tipping the home side to carry the day.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kasimpasa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kasimpasa.
| Result |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Samsunspor |
47.49% ( -0.3) | 24.91% ( 0.14) | 27.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.34) |
| 51.54% ( -0.5) | 48.45% ( 0.49) |
| 29.41% ( -0.46) | 70.59% ( 0.45) |
| 79.55% ( -0.33) | 20.44% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.1% ( -0.52) | 52.89% ( 0.51) |
| 68.32% ( -0.15) | 31.67% ( 0.14) |
