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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kasimpasa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kasimpasa.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Samsunspor |
47.49% ( -0.3) | 24.91% ( 0.14) | 27.59% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.5) | 48.45% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( -0.46) | 70.59% ( 0.45) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.33) | 20.44% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( -0.52) | 52.89% ( 0.51) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( -0.15) | 31.67% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.91% ( -0.17) | 68.09% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Samsunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.48% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.59% |
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