SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Samsunspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
58.2% ( 0.13) | 21.83% ( -0.04) | 19.97% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( 0.06) | 42.68% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.91% ( 0.06) | 65.09% ( -0.06) |
| Samsunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( 0.06) | 14.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.73% ( 0.12) | 42.27% ( -0.12) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.81% ( -0.06) | 35.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.06% ( -0.06) | 71.94% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Samsunspor | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 19.97% |
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