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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
G

Kasimpasa
3 - 4
Galatasaray

Icardi (34' og.), Kara (57'), da Costa (77')
Ben Ouannes (14'), Ugurlu (15'), Omeruo (29'), Gul (53'), Kara (70')
Winck (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mertens (27'), Icardi (48', 83'), Vinicius (90')
Vinicius (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 1-2 Galatasaray

Galatasaray are unstoppable at the moment and we think they will carry this momentum into the game with Kasimpasa. It is crunch time in the title race and the Lions will dig deep to secure three points again. However, it should be a close affair as the home side also have an European ticket within sight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawGalatasaray
26.48% (-0.603 -0.6) 22.86% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 50.66% (0.507 0.51)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.906 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.951 -0.95)40.12% (0.952 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-0.99 -0.99)62.49% (0.99 0.99)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.84% (-0.93100000000001 -0.93)28.16% (0.934 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.16% (-1.197 -1.2)63.84% (1.197 1.2)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.169 -0.17)16.01% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.67% (-0.31 -0.31)45.33% (0.311 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 26.48%
    Galatasaray 50.66%
    Draw 22.86%
KasimpasaDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 6.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.51% (0.196 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.312 0.31)
0-2 @ 7.56% (0.244 0.24)
1-3 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.62% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.12% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 0-0 Sivasspor
Friday, March 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, February 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Alanyaspor
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 6-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 0-1 Galatasaray
Sunday, March 3 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, February 26 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Sparta Prague 4-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, February 18 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-2 Sparta Prague
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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