SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
37.89% ( -0.09) | 26.84% ( -0.01) | 35.27% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( 0.05) | 53.76% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( 0.04) | 75.24% ( -0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( -0.03) | 27.53% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( -0.04) | 63.04% ( 0.03) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0.09) | 29.1% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( 0.11) | 65.02% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.89% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.27% |
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