SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
41.43% ( -0.07) | 25.79% ( 0.11) | 32.77% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( -0.45) | 49.81% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( -0.41) | 71.81% ( 0.4) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( -0.24) | 23.82% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( -0.34) | 57.99% ( 0.34) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.25) | 28.74% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( -0.31) | 64.57% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.77% |
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