SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.56% ( 0.01) | 24.3% ( -0.01) | 26.14% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( 0.03) | 46.88% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.87% ( 0.02) | 69.14% ( -0.02) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( 0.02) | 18.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( 0.02) | 50.5% ( -0.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( 0.02) | 31.98% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.57% ( 0.02) | 68.44% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.14% |
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