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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 27
Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
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Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Ndaba (45+5'), Kennedy (58')
Armstrong (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Warnock (0')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-1 Aberdeen

Aberdeen have showcased a lot of attacking quality recently, and that should lead to them causing some problems for Kilmarnock this weekend. However, Kilmarnock should end up being too strong for the Dons in this match, which they have already proven twice this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aberdeen has a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.01%), while for an Aberdeen win it is 0-1 (6.17%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
56.36% (0.473 0.47) 23.17% (-0.219 -0.22) 20.47% (-0.251 -0.25)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.308 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (0.599 0.6)47.83% (-0.595 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (0.547 0.55)70.01% (-0.544 -0.54)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.384 0.38)16.77% (-0.38 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (0.678 0.68)46.72% (-0.675 -0.67)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.38% (0.085000000000001 0.09)37.62% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.6% (0.081000000000003 0.08)74.4% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.35%
    Aberdeen 20.47%
    Draw 23.17%
KilmarnockDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.99% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.85% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.86% (0.051 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.67% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.038 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.036 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.157 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 20.47%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Cove Rangers
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 3-3 Motherwell
Wednesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 2-1 Aberdeen
Tuesday, February 6 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic
Saturday, February 3 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership


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