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Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
CR

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Cove Rangers

Watkins (45'), Armstrong (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Darge (39'), Gillingham (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One

We said: Kilmarnock 3-0 Cove Rangers

Kilmarnock head into this match as the firm favourites and considering how strong they have been in the league this season, anything other than a victory would be a shock. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 64.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Kilmarnock.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCove Rangers
64.86% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 19.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.54% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.92% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)40.07% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.56% (-0.012 -0.01)62.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.37%11.63% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.36% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)36.64% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Cove Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.32% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)38.68% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.58% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)75.42% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 64.86%
    Cove Rangers 15.54%
    Draw 19.6%
KilmarnockDrawCove Rangers
2-0 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.09%
4-0 @ 4.02% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 64.86%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.6%
1-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 15.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stirling 2-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Brora Rangers 1-3 Cove Rangers
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Cove Rangers 0-2 QotS
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Hamilton 2-0 Cove Rangers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Falkirk 4-0 Cove Rangers
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Cove Rangers 2-2 Kelty Hearts
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in Scottish League One


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