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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Uman'fermmash
DK

Kovalivka
1 - 1
Dynamo Kiev

Alefirenko (33')
Bolivar (52'), Alefirenko (56'), Kozik (64'), Denysenko (80'), Demchenko (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brazhko (5')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Kolos Kovalivka and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cherkasy 1-1 Kovalivka
Saturday, March 15 at 12am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Inhulets 5-2 Dynamo Kiev
Saturday, May 3 at 1am in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 52.64%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Kolos KovalivkaDrawDynamo Kiev
21.39% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 25.97% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 52.64% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.49% (-0.061 -0.06)57.51% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.7% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)78.3% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Kolos Kovalivka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.8% (0.042999999999999 0.04)42.2% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.39% (0.036999999999999 0.04)78.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)21.94% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.77% (-0.11 -0.11)55.22% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Kolos Kovalivka 21.39%
    Dynamo Kiev 52.63%
    Draw 25.96%
Kolos KovalivkaDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.23% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 21.39%
1-1 @ 12.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.26% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 14.04%
0-2 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.39% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 52.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Karpaty 1-0 Kovalivka
Friday, November 22 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 1-1 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Saturday, November 9 at 5.20pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Vorskla 0-1 Kovalivka
Sunday, November 3 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Polissya 1-1 Kovalivka
Friday, October 25 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-1 Shakhtar
Friday, October 18 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Kovalivka 0-0 Livyi Bereh
Saturday, October 5 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-2 Plzen
Thursday, November 28 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 3-1 Chornomorets
Saturday, November 23 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Polissya
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 0-4 Ferencvaros
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 5-2 Inhulets
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 1-1 Shakhtar
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League


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