SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 9.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.76%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
72.44% ( 0.13) | 17.77% ( -0.07) | 9.79% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.96% ( 0.13) | 46.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.66% ( 0.13) | 68.35% ( -0.13) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( 0.07) | 11.29% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.08% ( 0.16) | 35.93% ( -0.16) |
| Chornomorets Odesa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.17% ( -0.03) | 51.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.11% ( -0.02) | 85.9% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | Chornomorets Odesa |
| 2-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 12.76% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 72.43% | 1-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 17.77% | 0-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 9.79% |
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