SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 17.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 1-0 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shakhtar Donetsk in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
17.04% ( 0.07) | 23.84% ( 0.02) | 59.12% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.25% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.02) | 55.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.69% ( 0.02) | 76.31% ( -0.01) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.23% ( 0.09) | 45.77% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.46% ( 0.07) | 81.54% ( -0.07) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% ( -0.02) | 18.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.45% ( -0.04) | 49.55% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.04% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 23.84% | 0-1 @ 14.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 12.06% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 59.11% |
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