Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Korona Kielce	Draw	Lech Poznan
32.92% ( 0)	26.28% ( 0)	40.8% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

-0.01)

51.83% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

-0.01)

73.59% (

0.01)

Korona Kielce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.36% (

-0)

29.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.32% (

-0)

65.68%

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.95% (

-0.01)

25.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.28% (

-0.01)

59.72% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Korona Kielce 32.92%

Lech Poznan 40.79%

Draw 26.27%

Korona Kielce	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-0 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.92%	1-1 @ 12.49% 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.27%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.79%