SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Stal Mielec |
50.12% ( -0.1) | 25.11% ( -0.03) | 24.76% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( 0.23) | 51.35% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( 0.2) | 73.17% ( -0.2) |
| Korona Kielce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( 0.05) | 20.5% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( 0.08) | 52.99% ( -0.07) |
| Stal Mielec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.47% ( 0.25) | 35.53% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.7% ( 0.25) | 72.29% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Korona Kielce | Draw | Stal Mielec |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 50.12% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 24.76% |
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