SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Lech Poznan |
37.51% ( -0.29) | 26.6% ( 0.33) | 35.89% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.22% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( -1.39) | 52.72% ( 1.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( -1.2) | 74.35% ( 1.2) |
| Zaglebie Lubin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( -0.82) | 27.26% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.3% ( -1.08) | 62.69% ( 1.07) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.79% ( -0.7) | 28.21% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.09% ( -0.89) | 63.91% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zaglebie Lubin | Draw | Lech Poznan |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.9% |
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