SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Tromso IL |
43.34% ( 0.06) | 24.26% ( -0.01) | 32.39% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.87% ( 0.02) | 43.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.47% ( 0.02) | 65.52% ( -0.02) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( 0.03) | 20.06% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( 0.05) | 52.29% ( -0.05) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.02) | 25.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.35% ( -0.03) | 60.64% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.34% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 32.39% |
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