SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | HamKam | 17 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 16 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | Jerv | 17 | -25 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 16 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | Jerv | 17 | -25 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 17 | -21 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 60.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Kristiansund had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Kristiansund win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Kristiansund |
60.8% ( -0.02) | 21.85% ( -0.02) | 17.35% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.63% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.13) | 46.79% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0.13) | 69.04% ( -0.12) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.08% ( 0.04) | 14.92% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.7% ( 0.08) | 43.3% ( -0.07) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% ( 0.12) | 40.49% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.9% ( 0.11) | 77.1% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 60.8% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.95% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.35% |
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