SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kristiansund win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Aalesund had a probability of 35.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kristiansund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.95%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Aalesund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kristiansund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Aalesund |
40.57% ( 0.01) | 23.57% ( -0) | 35.86% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.93% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.1% ( -0.01) | 38.89% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( -0.01) | 61.21% ( 0.01) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0) | 19.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( -0) | 51.42% |
| Aalesund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.01) | 21.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% ( -0.01) | 54.99% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Aalesund |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.68% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.71% 3-2 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.26% Total : 40.57% | 1-1 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.56% 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.86% |
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