SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 14 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | Jerv | 16 | -23 | 11 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 15 | -20 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | FK Haugesund | 16 | -4 | 16 |
| 14 | Tromso IL | 14 | -7 | 16 |
| 15 | Jerv | 16 | -23 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kristiansund | Draw | Tromso IL |
35.59% ( -2.59) | 24.6% ( -0.25) | 39.81% ( 2.84) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.11% ( 1.07) | 43.89% ( -1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.72% ( 1.04) | 66.28% ( -1.04) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.9) | 24.22% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -1.29) | 58.57% ( 1.29) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( 1.94) | 22.03% ( -1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.64% ( 2.85) | 55.36% ( -2.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kristiansund | Draw | Tromso IL |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.57)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.56)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.27)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.59% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.25)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.36)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.45% Total : 39.81% |
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