Brest may see this competition as a potential backup plan to try and remain in Europe next season given their poor performance in Ligue 1 so far this term. Plenty of changes are expected for the visitors here but we feel they will still claim a fairly straightforward victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for La Roche had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.49%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a La Roche win it was 1-0 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.08) 
