SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Brest had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Brest |
62.39% ( 0.04) | 19.02% ( -0.02) | 18.59% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.56% ( 0.04) | 31.43% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.04) | 52.9% ( -0.05) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.25% ( 0.02) | 9.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.55% ( 0.05) | 32.44% ( -0.05) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0) | 29.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.01% ( -0) | 65.99% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Brest |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.01% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 62.39% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.02% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 18.59% |
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