SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
54.8% ( -3.75) | 22.89% ( 1.34) | 22.3% ( 2.41) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( -2.89) | 44.43% ( 2.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( -2.86) | 66.8% ( 2.86) |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( -2.21) | 16.1% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( -4.2) | 45.51% ( 4.2) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.68) | 33.92% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.4% ( 0.73) | 70.59% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.54)3-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.62)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.49)4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.51)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.28)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.28)Other @ 2.43% Total : 54.8% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.71) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.65)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.8) 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.2% Total : 22.3% |
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