Both sides will be desperate to stay ahead of Saint-Etienne and the relegation zone, and the chance to take points from a rival in a similar league position will be seen by both managers as an important opportunity.
However, if Brest can channel their Champions League form on Sunday then they may be too much for Nantes to contend with and should comfortably pick up all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 48.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.
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