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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
S

Brest
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Lala (12' pen.), Pereira Lage (45+1'), Del Castillo (90+2')
Balde (27'), Chardonnet (32'), Ajorque (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ouattara (85')
Mara (41'), Moreira (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Brest
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-0 Strasbourg

Against only Paris Saint-Germain and Rennes do Brest have a longer current winless run at home than they do versus Strasbourg, but despite their slow start in the league, three of their four wins this season have come immediately after a Champions League matchday. Strasbourg have produced entertaining encounters on the road so far, but have just two points to show for it, with their tally of 10 goals proving insignificant due to the fact they have let in 16. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawStrasbourg
49.32% (0.27800000000001 0.28) 24.84% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.83% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 53.11% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (-0.159 -0.16)49.4% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (-0.143 -0.14)71.44% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.051999999999992 0.05)20.05% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.082000000000001 0.08)52.27% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)33.57% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (-0.334 -0.33)70.21% (0.333 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Brest 49.32%
    Strasbourg 25.83%
    Draw 24.84%
BrestDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.08% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 49.32%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.73% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.83%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Brest
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Brest
Friday, November 22 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Sparta Prague 1-2 Brest
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Brest 0-1 Nice
Saturday, November 2 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Brest
Saturday, October 26 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 2-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, November 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, November 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Nantes
Sunday, October 27 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-2 Strasbourg
Saturday, October 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1


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