SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 66.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 13.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.
| Result | ||
| LDU Quito | Draw | Always Ready |
66.97% ( 0.46) | 19.72% ( -0.26) | 13.31% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.91% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( 0.68) | 45.43% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( 0.65) | 67.76% ( -0.65) |
| LDU Quito Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( 0.34) | 12.63% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.24% ( 0.7) | 38.75% ( -0.7) |
| Always Ready Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.83% ( 0.11) | 45.17% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.93% ( 0.09) | 81.07% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| LDU Quito | Draw | Always Ready |
| 2-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0)3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 66.96% | 1-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.72% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.24% Total : 13.31% |
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